Một cuối tuần bận rộn của La Liga diễn ra với hai trận cầu ở phía bắc Tây Ban Nha. Alaves, currently fourth, has built confidence from three straight home wins, including a 5-2 victory over Osasuna that showcased their attacking firepower. Valencia, sitting at the bottom of the table, has struggled away from home, managing only a single point from two matches, and has been hit hard by a 0-5 loss at Barcelona that exposed defensive frailties. The clash at Mendizorroza will test whether Alaves can convert their home advantage into another win, while Valencia must find a way to halt their free‑fall and secure a result that keeps their season alive.
Looking at the most recent results, Alaves’ form is unmistakable. Their last six outings at home include a 2-1 win over Racing Santander, a 5-2 demolition of Osasuna, and a 1-0 success against Villarreal. Those matches produced a total of 8 goals for the home side and just 3 goals conceded, reinforcing their reputation as a strong defensive unit. Valencia’s away record is starkly different: a 1-0 defeat at Sevilla, a 0-5 loss at Barcelona, and a 3-1 win over Deportivo La Coruna. The away side has netted only 4 goals in those three games while conceding 11, highlighting a lack of consistency and defensive organization. The recent head‑to‑head shows a 3-2 win for Valencia in March, a 1-0 loss for them in May, and a goalless draw in October, indicating a balanced rivalry.
The three meetings in the last season tell a story of alternating fortunes. Valencia triumphed 3-2 in March, converting a 0/0.5 Asian handicap and an over 2.5 market. Alaves responded with a narrow 1-0 victory in May, beating a 0/-0.5 handicap and an under 2.5 line. The October clash ended 0-0, leaving both Asian and over/under markets unsettled. These results suggest that when Valencia plays with urgency they can score, but Alaves’ home resilience often limits the opposition. The upcoming match will likely be influenced by whichever team can replicate the tactical discipline shown in their best recent performances.
Alaves will likely start with a compact 4‑3‑3, using their midfield trio to support both defense and attack. Their high‑press system forces errors, and their speed on the counter can exploit any gaps left by a fatigued Valencia side. Valencia, lacking a clear creative hub, may attempt to play a high line to catch teams off‑side, but this could open spaces for Alaves to target their quick forwards. Set pieces are crucial for both sides; Alaves have a strong corner conversion rate, while Valencia’s defensive organization during dead‑ball situations needs improvement. Expect Alaves to dominate possession and create the majority of scoring chances.
Taking everything into account, the balance of recent form, home advantage, and the clear statistical edge suggests Alaves will secure a win. Their consistency at home, combined with Valencia’s away struggles, makes a home victory highly plausible. The prediction leans toward a comfortable Alaves win, supporting the over/under market with an expectation of multiple goals, while also backing the Asian handicap in favor of the home side.Dự đoán:
Dự đoán tỷ số FT: 3-1
Kèo châu Á: Alaves -0.5 (Chấp trên)
Kèo Tài Xỉu: Tài 2/2.5
Kèo châu Âu: Thắng nhà
